Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th 2-0-1
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yanko Spasov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Kostadin Vodenicharov (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Velchev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
10th 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stiliyan Neychev (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.