Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Maxim Prokopov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Plamen Bahlov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stoyan Stoyanov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Stef Ganchev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.