Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 2-1-0
0%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bozhidar Kyorov (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Win vs Yanko Spasov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Plamen Bahlov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.