Dorinthea at Showdown: Auckland 2026
Dorinthea
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
10:90
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Briar) - Expected: 10:90
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Digl Dixon (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jay Haskett (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Hartley (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.