Calling: Hartford - Kayo (Draft)

Kayo

32 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mark Morrison

1st • 8-1-0

67%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

4.6

Surp

12.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Christopher D'Agostino (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R17 Draft

Round 17: Win vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

12.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.11
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.22
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.46
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R16	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.95
R17	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.07

Alexander Vore

3rd • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

9.3

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

9.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.23
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.25
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.51
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.83
R15	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.88
R16	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Tariq Patel

5th • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

9.6

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

9.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.08
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.71
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.86
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R15	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuanji Li

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

8.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

8.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R11	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.64
R12	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.79
R13	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.55
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R15	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Naib Mobassir

13th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.67
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Pat Eshghy

14th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.3

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.81
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jodey Burney

17th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

6.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.57
R10	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.39
R11	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.53
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.95

Chris Brummett

21st • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.01
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.81
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.56

Connor Bryant

22nd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Caleb Engen (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.83
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.26
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Ryan Goldfinger

23rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

8.5

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

8.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.09
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.56

Liam Trodden

24th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.8

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Christopher D'Agostino (Unknown)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.38
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.44

Alex Espinoza

33rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.26
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nicholas Porter

41st • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.01
R12	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Jacob Shaker

9th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.6

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.09
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Peter Buddensiek

12th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.9

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.83
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.67
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.38
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Cæruleus Silver

19th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Lucas Molho

26th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Dalton

27th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.01
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Evan Bridges

38th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.9

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.25
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.44

Craig Krempels

40th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Bradley Tashman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jordan Clost (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Alexander Tedeschi

44th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.83
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Anthony Cicchinelli

45th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Dexter Phan

46th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jon Smith

49th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Yasunari Sakuma

55th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs The Better Johnson (Unknown)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Corey Frascati-Robinson

25th • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Joseph Laraiso

52nd • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Christopher D'Agostino (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dakota Cook

53rd • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Green

54th • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Aaron Blum

57th • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.44

Rody Burg

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.35
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Bradley Tashman

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.