Betsy at Calling: Hartford

Betsy

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elly Bird

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

8.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

8.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.37
R11	Draft	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.86
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.40
R15	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Caleb Engen

35th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.44
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.59
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.75
R12	Draft	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.23

Hayden Jeanson

16th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.7

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.75
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.23

Joe Santianna

28th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.6

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.80
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.59
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	Draft	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Pedro Esaki

31st • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

6.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jordan Clost (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.40
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.60
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Eric Dauernnheim

36th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.44
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.91
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.23

Robin Avenoso

56th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.91
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Michael Metallo

48th • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.07
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.