Calling: Hartford - Kassai (Draft)

Kassai

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Cody Williams

2nd • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

9.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Jordan Clost (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R17 Draft

Round 17: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

9.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Olympia	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.62
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.21
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.31
R14	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.41
R15	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.37
R16	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.62
R17	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

David Lee

3rd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

8.9

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.02
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.14
R11	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.38
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.36
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.48
R14	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R15	Draft	Olympia	40%	Win	✗	0.60	2.48
R16	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

nicolas Jamoulle

15th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

8.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

8.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51
R11	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.67
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.82
R13	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.78
R14	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Sabastian Chizhik

11th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

6.2

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.36
R10	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.37
R11	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.51
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathan Crawford

18th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.0

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Ryan Rich (Unknown)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51
R11	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.65
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Aidan Barsony

10th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.8

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.36
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51
R11	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Olympia	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Casey Knepley

30th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.0

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51
R11	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.51
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Olympia	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Christopher Yunck

37th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

6.7

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Ryan Rich (Unknown)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.82
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Olympia	40%	Win	✗	0.60	3.08

Derek Chiu

39th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.8

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Jordan Clost (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51
R11	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Merrick Kemp

42nd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

6.1

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jordan Clost (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Olympia	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.12

Joshua Hannan

51st • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.37
R11	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.12

Nick Webb

29th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.67
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.97
R14	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jordan Clost

47th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Olympia	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.82
R13	Draft	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R14	Draft	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Steven Doan

50th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.0

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Ryan Rich (Unknown)

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 40:60

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R13	Draft	Olympia	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.