Rhinar at Showdown: San Diego 2026
Rhinar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Dominic Perez (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Kayo) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Shereena Decano (Enigma) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Marchant (Briar) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Sael Garcia (Briar) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.