Aurora
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sael Garcia (Briar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Justin Liwag (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Nick Tiller (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Mia Cueva-Del Rosario (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Terra | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.