Olympia at Calling: Liverpool

Olympia

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05

5th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paul Crame (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Baxendale (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Mateusz Sass

13th • 6-2-0

38%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Natasha Collins (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Edward Catling (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Marcus Archer

dropped • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alba Sanz (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Frangopol (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Appleby (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

George Jones

34th • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs James Clark (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Correas (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adam Maxwell (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.53
R6	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Alan Bainbridge

28th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Fannar Larusson (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Reece Grimes (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jay Glover (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Filipe Camacho

43rd • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Hughes (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Micklewright (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.11
R2	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.40
R4	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.74
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nathan Halford

48th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jason Kelly (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Barefoot (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jake Warburton (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Damon Elgie (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kamil Rejman

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Blower (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs David Surmann (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Kyle Mullings

dropped • 4-2-2

88%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Philip van Donselaar (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adam Harbinson ()

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mihails Senins (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Robin Wagner

dropped • 4-3-1

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Oleg Zabalujev (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs George Rodger (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Leeming (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Craig Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Felix Krisch (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Sylvain Poirree

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Callum Young (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Paul Wilde (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.11
R2	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.64
R7	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

James Thourgood

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs William Borwick (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Callum Elcock (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adam Collins (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Hamish Dean

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ismael Martín González (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ricardo Perez (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Stuart Turner (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew McCherry (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Harbinson ()

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stuart Turner

dropped • 3-2-1

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs George Keys (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hamish Dean (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Lee (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 73:27

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.31
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Donovan van Beek

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs James Ashall ()

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs George Douglas (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Sebastian Grøndal

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Murray Iain (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Ormstrup (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R6	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Edward Catling

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Peter Ward (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mihails Senins (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R3	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robert Catling

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dan York (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sam Williams (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Parisotto (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Toby Beckham

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jan Demian (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Oleg Zabalujev

dropped • 1-1-3

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Javier Mellado Tellez (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Ian Porter (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Diran Bajwa (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Joel Rencen (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Joel Rencen

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Perez (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Oleg Zabalujev (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.