Kayo at Calling: Liverpool

Kayo

81 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

robin gasparini

dropped • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+4.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Bruno Cracco

10th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Juan Chacon (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Toby Beckham (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pablo Pintor

3rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Craig Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Diran Bajwa (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mathias W (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Michael Vournas

16th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Stephen Eade (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Bart de Jong

26th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yael Belder (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Toby Beckham (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Light-Barnett (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.75
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Sander Neeft

30th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Owen Cookman (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Paul A Wright (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Gary White

35th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dan York (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yael Belder (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adam Collins (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Chițu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Paul A Wright (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Alex Price

37th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jose Alves (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

James Adams

39th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs George Rodger (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jason Ogden (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Matthew Carre

50th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Damon Elgie (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rob Catton (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Max Dieckmann

19th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ben Davison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Theo Maggs (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Thomas Harle

20th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Marc Schmid (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Scott "HowlingMines" Mines

45th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ismael Martín González (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs George Douglas (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Richard Carr

47th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christophe Vandalem (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Federico Chiarel

49th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Surmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hamish Dean (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Bernardo Cardoso

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adam Harbinson ()

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Marc Schmid (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs George Bowles (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Damon Elgie

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adam Maxwell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Javier Mellado Tellez (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

David McAllan

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Florin-Cristian Loghin

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Maxwell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Correas (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jorge Expósito Valiente

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Surmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs James Thourgood (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Luigi Fontana

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alice Angell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mihails Senins (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs David Calf (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.85
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Marc Schmid

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs James Micklewright (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Josh Byram (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zoey Nye (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Maximilian Klein

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jay Glover (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Diran Bajwa (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Peter Ward (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Michael Wachouschek

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Siyuan Yin (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robert Catling (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Vasilis Kirlis

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Emery (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hughes (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ben Davison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Yael Belder

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Stefanos Argyriou (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs George Keys (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tim Coates (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs James Micklewright (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.90
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Christopher Chalk

dropped • 4-3-1

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Murray Iain (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Oli Cornish (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Gabija Petravičiūtė (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adrian Lee (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs George Bowles (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Aleksandar Gakovic (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.75
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alex Martinez de

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Copson (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Damon Harbinson

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Peter Hopps (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Harrison Shore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bogdan Popa (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

David Surmann

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Baxendale (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Grzegorz Kowalski

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Marc Schmid (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dean Alldread (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Isaac Murray (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Light-Barnett (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonas Benzarti

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Appleby

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Blower (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Lukasz Bigos

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Appleby (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Reece Grimes (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Michał Sierszulski

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Oli Anderson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Ward (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alice Angell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Fannar Larusson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Patrik Koller

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gregory Radek (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Hopps (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Oli Anderson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.90
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Peter Hopps

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs James Tague (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Patrik Koller (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Gabija Petravičiūtė (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mihails Senins (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Simon Lüthi

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stefanos Argyriou (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam West (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs James Micklewright (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tamás Somoskövi

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Hughes (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs James Ashall ()

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Theo Maggs

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Callum Elcock (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Tim McCarthy

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sam Williams (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Connor Davis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Murray Iain (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs George Douglas (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Antonis Kazouris

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Hughes (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Maria Jesus Penella (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Harrison Shore

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jan Demian (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Nguyen (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Hughes (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs James Ashall ()

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.45
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jakub Grefling

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Reynolds (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stuart Turner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Philip Connolley (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Vittor Matiazo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs George Keys (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marcos Vassão

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Farrow (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Toby Beckham (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Aleksandar Gakovic (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

William Borwick

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs James Thourgood (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Owen Cookman (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Philip Connolley (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brynjar Erwinsson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Yong Jin Jang

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mihai Zorila

dropped • 2-5-1

88%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Coates (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Reece Grimes (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alice Angell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs William Borwick (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maria Jesus Penella

dropped • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan Popa (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ian Porter (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jack Rhys-Burgess

dropped • 1-6-1

62%

Meta

-2.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Lee (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Darren Burdock-Latter (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Maria Jesus Penella (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R8	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Mario Donoso

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Maxwell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alice Angell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas van den Berg

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steven Christian (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joel Rencen (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Alex Chițu

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gregory Radek (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gabija Petravičiūtė (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrej Narjas

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Farrow (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Siyuan Yin (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs George Douglas (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Connor Davis

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Farrow (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dave Kerr (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.80
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Dean Alldread

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alex Smith (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Emlyn Ingram

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adam Parker (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs William Borwick (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mark Warren (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jose Alves (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonny Chapman

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Russell (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Brynjar Erwinsson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adam Friday (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Szawica (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Marijn Lybaert

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Vittor Matiazo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Clark (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alex Smith (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Callum Young (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.80
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew McCherry

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Vittor Matiazo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jan Van Nieuwenhove (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Dean (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Baxendale (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ben Davison

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Copson (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Reece Grimes (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

George Bowles

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Ormstrup (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zoey Nye (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Alves

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paul Wilde (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Harbinson ()

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip Connolley

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Copson (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dragos Trofimov (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs William Borwick (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.00
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adrian Frangopol

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Paul Hyman (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Calf (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Bartosz Dominiak

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ross Gauld (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paul Reynolds (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Giannis Karyotakis

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Barefoot (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andrej Narjas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ismael Martín González

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hamish Dean (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rob Emery (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jason Ogden

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Edward Bayford (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Harbinson ()

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dan York (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jay Glover

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alba Sanz (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.64
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lewis Foulkes

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adam West (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas Ormstrup

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs George Bowles (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Siyuan Yin (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Tom Barnaby-Pass

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs farruque miah (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Michael Bone (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Hazell

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Ward (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brynjar Erwinsson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Diran Bajwa (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Dragos Trofimov

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Philip Connolley (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Hughes (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Paul Reynolds

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mathias W (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs James Ashall ()

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vittor Matiazo

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McCherry (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Paul Crame (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maciej Walenczykowski

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Light-Barnett (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Dinsdale (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Adam West (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.