Betsy at Calling: Liverpool

Betsy

32 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

1st • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Richard Hughes (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Tomasz Żelazko

24th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Peter Hopps (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Jess Swandale

51st • 6-1-1

88%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Mihai Zorila (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Tague (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs William Borwick (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Damon Elgie (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rob Catton (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R7	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.02
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Mark Henderson

3rd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Light-Barnett (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Joel Rencen (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mihails Senins (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Brodie Spurlock

dropped • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Gabija Petravičiūtė (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Oliver Gehrig

dropped • 5-2-1

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Fannar Larusson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Vulpe Razvan (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Toby Beckham (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Felix Krisch (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.77
R8	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Adrián Marín

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Fannar Larusson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mihails Senins (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Fabio Albrecht

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jamie Taylor (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Stefano Parisotto (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Christophe Vandalem (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jack Fejer (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

George Douglas

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jason Kelly (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adam Parker (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Andrej Narjas (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Henrik Moilanen

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mod Robson (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Micklewright (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Natasha Collins (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniele Frattarelli

dropped • 4-3-1

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Baxendale (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rob Catton (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Kyle Mullings (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Natasha Collins (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.77
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brynjar Erwinsson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Felix Krisch (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Daniel Correas

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Adam Harbinson ()

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Micklewright

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marc Schmid (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Aleksandar Gakovic (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Yael Belder (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Shaun Higham

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Friday (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ian Porter (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Ian Porter

dropped • 3-4-1

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Callum Young (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Oleg Zabalujev (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rob Emery (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mathias W (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Parker (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Maria Jesus Penella (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Daniel Ferguson

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Harbinson ()

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Callum Young (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Darren Burdock-Latter (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Brynjar Erwinsson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Oli Anderson (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Daniel Hughes

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tudor Todea (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dragos Trofimov (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Harrison Shore (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Fannar Larusson

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs farruque miah (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brynjar Erwinsson

dropped • 1-7-0

100%

Meta

-3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ferguson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs farruque miah (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs William Borwick (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Finlay Shepherd

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jack Walsh (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joel Rencen (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alex Chițu (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.50
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Tim Sofsky

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Oli Manners (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Quinn Durlston-Powell

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alba Sanz (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Mckinlay

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maria Jesus Penella (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Stefano Meoni

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mark Spilsbury (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tim Coates (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marc Schmid (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dave Kerr

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Edward Harris (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Ormstrup (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Connor Davis (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oli Manners

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Jason Kelly (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Ashall ()

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.71
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Callum Young

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Porter (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferguson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Christophe Vandalem

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marisa Bowen (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jan Demian (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Oli Anderson (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.53
R4	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Darvydas Čepukaitis

dropped • 1-2-2

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Oli Cornish (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Dragos Trofimov (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-

Hanno Guellicher

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Kassai) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 44:56

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thierry Entringer (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.