Calling: Liverpool - Kassai (Sealed)

Kassai

71 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Liam Holden

2nd • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Philip Gibbons (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Frangopol (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Naib Mobassir

5th • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mike Williams (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Light-Barnett (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

valentin mackl

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Marcus Archer (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Filip Mikołajczyk

11th • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew McCherry (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Luigi Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Piotr Krzempek

12th • 7-1-0

75%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Brookes (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.51

Guillem Las Heras

25th • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adam Friday (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Edward Catling (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Davide Rizzi

18th • 6-1-1

88%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Anya North (Unknown)

70:30

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Darren Burdock-Latter (Rhinar) - Expected: 70:30

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Harrison Shore (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Oli Manners (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Surmann (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Diran Bajwa (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Marc Schmid (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

David Alfonso

46th • 6-1-1

75%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mario Donoso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Bartosz Ziemba

9th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Craig Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Paul A Wright (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Suciu Andrei

15th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Martin Hechtberger

17th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.63
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Erik Baalhuis

21st • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bogdan Popa (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Brookes (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Correas (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Theo Maggs (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Jacob Clements

22nd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Ormstrup (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Lubos Vanicek

23rd • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jake Warburton (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oliver M

27th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Leeming (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dean Alldread (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David Calf (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Peter Markovič

31st • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Edward Harris (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Gustavo Cilleruelo

33rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mathias W (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Kevin Zänker

42nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Bone (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adam Collins (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs James Flynn (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.54
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

44th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Dean Alldread (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Theo Maggs (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

David Amorín García

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs René Schep (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas McCormick (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Stefano Parisotto (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jonas Ormstrup

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jay Glover (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Thourgood (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dean Alldread (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Szots Daniel

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Frangopol (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mark Warren (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Murray Iain (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Appleby (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Adam Maxwell (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Craig Johnson

dropped • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Ashall ()

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Anya North (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Simon Nielsen

14th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christophe Vandalem (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Light-Barnett

36th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mathias W (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Peter Ward (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jack Mountford

40th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adam Collins (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jason Ogden (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Hamish Dean (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Daniel White

52nd • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yael Belder (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ashley Southwood

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mod Robson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Reece Grimes (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Oli Anderson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Connor Davis (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Danny Halstad

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tom Ward (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Stuart Turner (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs James Micklewright (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Calf

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Lee (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adrian Frangopol (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Luigi Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joe Fletcher

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs George Douglas (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Edward Harris (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs seoirse byrne (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs James Brookes (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Ferguson (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Peter Hopps (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Leila Green

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tom Hazell (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Calf (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Paul A Wright (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs seoirse byrne (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Appleby (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Rob Catton

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tim Coates (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Samuel Parry

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Sergio Bravo Aranda

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Scandalis (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Edward Catling (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dave Kerr (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Tyhrone Bennett

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrej Narjas (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Aleksandar Gakovic (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David Calf (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David McAllan (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zak Murray

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Patrik Koller (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dave Kerr (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aleksandar Gakovic (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip van Donselaar

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Kyle Mullings (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Robert Catling (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yael Belder (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs James Thourgood (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Birkir Örn Sigurðsson

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ismael Martín González (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Diran Bajwa

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Javier Mellado Tellez (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tom Hazell (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Stefano Parisotto (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Finlay Freir

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs George Bowles (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andrej Narjas (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Natasha Collins (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David Calf (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Kenworthy

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rob Emery (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Natasha Collins

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Henrik Montin (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alice Angell (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Paul A Wright

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Peter Ward (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

kuba tambor

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ian Porter (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Oli Anderson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Hughes (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Alice Angell

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Blower (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs James Ashall ()

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Natasha Collins (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jay Glover (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Edward Bayford (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Maria Jesus Penella (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Eyüp Vroegop

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adam Friday (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Craig Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Felix Krisch

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dragos Trofimov (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Javier Mellado Tellez (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Reece Grimes

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ben Davison (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oli Anderson

dropped • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Marisa Bowen (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs kuba tambor (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Ferguson (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Adam Maxwell

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mario Donoso (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.51
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jeppe Madsen

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Josh Byram (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Appleby (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Parker

dropped • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Paweł Sosnowski (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs farruque miah (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs George Douglas (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ian Porter (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.13

Benjamin Troth

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Oli Manners (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs George Keys (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Viktor Sojka

dropped • 1-5-1

100%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Alex Smith (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas McCormick (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Maddalene Delves (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs George Keys (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jack Fejer

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs George Keys (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jamie Taylor (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tudor Todea (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Stefano Berian

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ferguson (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bogdan Popa (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.38
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R4	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gabija Petravičiūtė

dropped • 2-2-2

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Brodie Spurlock (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Henrik Montin (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Christopher Chalk (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alba Sanz (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Hopps (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Bogdan Popa

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Swales (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Maria Jesus Penella (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.62
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Mark Warren

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Clark (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jan Demian (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Sean Knowelden

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ross Gauld (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Isaac Murray (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Adam Friday

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Reuben Thomas (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shaun Higham (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.68
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Daniel Baxendale

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mod Robson (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David Surmann (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McCherry (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R4	Sealed	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Edward Harris

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Philip Gibbons (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mod Robson

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Baxendale (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Angell (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alex Smith (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Thomas McCormick

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Murray Iain (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dziugas Skrupskelis

dropped • 1-3-1

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Perez (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Stefanos Argyriou (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-

Adam West

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Siyuan Yin (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.75
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ryan Dinsdale

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Parker (Kassai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Fannar Larusson (Betsy) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.