Battle Hardened: Taipei 2025 - Gravy Bones (Sealed)

Gravy Bones

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Benjamin Lim

5th • 6-0-1

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lane Thomason (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Keith Yong (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs logan boyd (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philip van Donselaar

5th • 6-0-1

100%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Esmond Heng (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas On (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 諒人五嶋 (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs 岡西達也 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

岡西達也

3rd • 5-1-1

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Crause (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Hyeonjin Kim (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Shing Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Tsz Lung Wu

10th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyrios Mak

15th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs wenchuan lin (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Lau (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Manuel Succari (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas On (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ping How Ng (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Peter Bråss

19th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andy Wang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs logan boyd (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Louis Mook (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tobias Schmiedeberg

22nd • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yuxuan Seah (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jose Lau (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Colin Li (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Yoshiaki Okamoto

36th • 3-2-2

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Ting Yen Mao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David Alfonso (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Johnny Zen

35th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hakim Green (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Tang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs John Zapata (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ting Yen Mao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Colin Tang

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Louie Yazon (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Masaru Yoshizawa

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ting Yen Mao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrea Mengucci

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sinho Seol (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Yuanji Li (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-

Harpreet Singh Dhillon

dropped • 1-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Alan Lane (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Wang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yuxuan Seah (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kenneth Kong

dropped • 0-1-2

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs David Alfonso (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Sinho Seol (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

bill huynh

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Nils Klaper

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Succari (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.