Scurv, Stowaway at Battle Hardened: Taipei 2025

Scurv, Stowaway

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Corwin Benton

11th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Allan begovic (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kuan Li (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.77
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.92
R7	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Khoi Dinh

16th • 5-2-0

14%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rhasta Chuah (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Unknown)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.73
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10

Eugene C

25th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Yong (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Alfonso (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.92
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

haruka sonoda

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas On (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jani Leinonen (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Alexander Jan

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

wenchuan lin

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Kin Lim (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Lane (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.