Scurv, Stowaway at Battle Hardened: Taipei 2025

Scurv, Stowaway

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Corwin Benton

11th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Allan begovic (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kuan Li (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.63
R7	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Khoi Dinh

16th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rhasta Chuah (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11

Eugene C

25th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Yong (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Alfonso (Unknown)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.63
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

haruka sonoda

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas On (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jani Leinonen (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Alexander Jan

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

wenchuan lin

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Kin Lim (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Lane (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.