Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.