Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Berg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.