Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2025 - Slovenia
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 6-0-0
50%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Žan Baumgartner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakob Justin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jakob Justin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.