Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakob Pogačnik Souvent (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jure Kaker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Justin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.