Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jure Brence (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tadej Krmac (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.