Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025 - Slovenia
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ervin Bešić (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tilen Blazinšek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.