Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

16th 2-3-1
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Tim Moser (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoan Falquet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lukas Horber (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
dropped 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Célien Mévillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Badertscher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.