World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Belgium - Aurora (Blitz)

Aurora

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brent Van de Staey

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Wim Raes (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.26
R3	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Blitz	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kenny Van Rompaey

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Keisse (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Davy Vanden Broeck (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.77
R7	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Stevie Van Overtveldt

10th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Michel Van der noord (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs fre De Wilde (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.88
R5	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.