Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025 - France
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bertrand Guillot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Karl Cleuziou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.