World Championship Qualifier 2025 - France - Marlynn (Sealed)

Marlynn

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tigran Grigorian

1st • 6-1-0

29%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Antoine Billy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hadrien Ravelinghien (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Anael Laskri (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Alexandre Lebec

3rd • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mélusine Haegeman (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs enzo costa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Clément Py (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.84
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Dayvid Kayal

dropped • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matthieu Gravito (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Joris Masson (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mallaury BEDIN (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Antonin Poubeau

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steve Pennec (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Fourrier (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Unknown)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Nennig (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Joris Masson

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Damien LASSARA (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Clément Le Bloas (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Chevrinais (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Thomas Gaumard

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Clément Py (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Théo Mondain

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Térence Nicolas (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Etienne Duruy (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Chevrinais (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Cédric Florent (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Vincent Degrandis

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Chevrinais (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mélusine Haegeman (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Etienne Duruy (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Oscar Magaldi (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Thomas Bocahut

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs enzo costa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David BERGIA (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Duruy (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Antoine Cordier (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Yohann Jouanny

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yoann Chaussinand (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs William Rao (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Pierre Canali (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Steve BRIQUET (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.84
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mathieu LAGUERRE

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Therssen Hugo (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Térence Nicolas (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Magaldi (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ciercoles Antoine (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Thomas Chevrinais

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Degrandis (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Térence Nicolas (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joris Masson (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Théo Mondain (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Léo Toulouse

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs enzo costa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Unknown)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.26
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mohamed El Fardi

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Antoine Cordier (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Marco Augusto (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Jacqueline (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Alexandre Fourrier

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Therssen Hugo (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Antonin Poubeau (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mallaury BEDIN (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Thibault Noëllat (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Nicolas Pizzonero

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Fourrier (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Amandine Sainte-Marie (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs William Rao (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Maxime Grondin

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Amandine Sainte-Marie (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ariela Randriamasy (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mathieu LAGUERRE (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Steve Pennec

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Antonin Poubeau (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs jean-baptiste debry--mournetas (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thibault Noëllat (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David BERGIA

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mallaury BEDIN (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Marco Augusto

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Pecastaing (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mohamed El Fardi (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bidinger Mikael

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.