World Championship Qualifier 2025 - France - Gravy Bones (Sealed)

Gravy Bones

33 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nicolas Pilven

3rd • 6-0-1

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Térence Nicolas (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Ewan Dajnak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Simon Duruy (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs enzo costa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

enzo costa

2nd • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eric Steuer (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adrien Krifa

5th • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Charles Tardif (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Nennig (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Louis Pecastaing (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.64
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Anael Laskri

5th • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Amandine Sainte-Marie (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Louis Pecastaing (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Clément Py

5th • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrien ROBERT (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Valin (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Killian HENRY (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Arthur Brunoni (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eric Steuer (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Ewan Dajnak

dropped • 5-1-1

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ciercoles Antoine (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Martin Thullier (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Nicolas Pilven (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Nennig (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Théo Mondain (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Killian HENRY (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Adrien Bersier

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maxime Andreau (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Anael Laskri (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Amandine Sainte-Marie (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Cédric Florent (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yohann Jouanny (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Antoine Billy

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Chevrinais (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Doriann LASSARA

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Francklin FLORY (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Karl Cleuziou (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs enzo costa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ariela Randriamasy (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Charles Tardif (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Eric Steuer

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Achin (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Antonin Poubeau (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Simon Duruy (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs enzo costa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Clément Py (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Arthur Brunoni (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Faustin Falissard

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steve BRIQUET (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ulysse Bousquet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Anael Laskri (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs jean-baptiste debry--mournetas (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Bouteyron

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Valentin Jacqueline (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Antoine Billy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Escoffier

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Pecastaing (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Cédric Florent (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Antonin Poubeau (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Karl Cleuziou (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Paul Barthonnet

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Valin (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Théo Mondain (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jo Yana (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mélusine Haegeman (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maxence Cornut

dropped • 3-1-3

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Christophe Jourdan (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Bertrand Guillot (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Simon Boudoux (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Cédric Florent (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Ariela Randriamasy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Thibault Noëllat

dropped • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Mickael LEFEBVRE (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Steve Pennec (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Raphaël Snaet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alexandre Fourrier (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs William Rao (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ciercoles Antoine

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Therssen Hugo (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mathieu LAGUERRE (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Valentin Jacqueline

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Aurélien Cordier (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Philippe Milot (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthieu Gravito (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Magaldi (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.26
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexis HAYOIT

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mathieu LAGUERRE (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thibaut BONNEL (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Bocahut (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Pierrick Dubos (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexis Planchenault

dropped • 1-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christophe Jourdan (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Aurélien Cordier (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Térence Nicolas (Unknown)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Adrien ROBERT (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Pierrick Dubos

dropped • 0-4-3

100%

Meta

-3.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Ariela Randriamasy (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Damien LASSARA (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Simon Mercier (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine Cordier (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alban Bonnefoux

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Savinien Castel (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Pierre Canali (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Clément Maillet (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.75
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Bertrand Guillot

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Clément Le Bloas (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ciercoles Antoine (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jonathan YUSTE

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adrien ROBERT (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David BERGIA (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Savinien Castel (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thibaut BONNEL

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Anael Laskri (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Etienne Duruy (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Simon Mercier (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexis HAYOIT (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Unknown)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hadrien Ravelinghien (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Pierre Canali

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thibault Noëllat (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Alban Bonnefoux (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Simon Boudoux (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yohann Jouanny (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Francklin FLORY

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matthieu Gravito (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Antoine Cordier (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Etienne Duruy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Laurent Lecomte

dropped • 0-4-1

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Nennig (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Magaldi (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Damien LASSARA (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Mercier (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Pennec

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Karl Cleuziou (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maxime Andreau (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexis Planchenault (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Steve BRIQUET (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Raphaël Snaet

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Christophe Jourdan (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rahma sinien (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Thibault Noëllat (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ximun LASTIRI

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Théo Mondain (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Thullier (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ulysse Bousquet

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs William Rao (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Nennig (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.60
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rahma sinien

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jo Yana (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Raphaël Snaet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mickael LEFEBVRE (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.