World Championship Qualifier 2025 - France - Puffin (Sealed)

Puffin

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gaël Dorckel

dropped • 4-2-1

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Charles Duruy (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ciercoles Antoine (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Bertrand Guillot (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Amandine Sainte-Marie (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.71
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Hadrien Ravelinghien

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ariela Randriamasy (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Louis Duruy (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mallaury BEDIN (Unknown)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Killian HENRY (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.07
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adrien ROBERT

dropped • 2-4-1

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Clément Py (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Térence Nicolas (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Damien LASSARA (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Simon Mercier (Unknown)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alexis Planchenault (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Matthieu Gravito

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Francklin FLORY (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Jacqueline (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Charles Duruy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas Valin

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Clément Py (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.