Gravy Bones at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Gravy Bones

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Richard Kruithof

1st • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Draft

Round 1: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Unknown)

R2 Draft

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Draft

Round 3: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Draft

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Crone (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Gabe Sher (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R4	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Merijn Poorthuis

3rd • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Draft

Round 1: Draw vs Gary White (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Draft

Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

R3 Draft

Round 3: Win vs René Van Hoorn (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Draft

Round 4: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Mark Henderson (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs David Kuric (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R3	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R5	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip van Donselaar

5th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Draft

Round 1: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Unknown)

R2 Draft

Round 2: Win vs Sander Neeft (Unknown)

R3 Draft

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Unknown)

70:30

R4 Draft

Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Michael de Kok (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R5	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rob van der Burgh

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Draft

Round 1: Win vs Bram bertens (Unknown)

R2 Draft

Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Unknown)

R3 Draft

Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Unknown)

R4 Draft

Round 4: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.96

Gary White

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Draft

Round 1: Draw vs Merijn Poorthuis (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Draft

Round 2: Win vs Christopher de Bruijn (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R3 Draft

Round 3: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Unknown)

R4 Draft

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Kruijsen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R3	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tomasz Podolak

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Draft

Round 1: Loss vs Samed Demir (Unknown)

R2 Draft

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Crone (Unknown)

R3 Draft

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

René Schep

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Draft

Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Draft

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Kruijsen (Unknown)

R3 Draft

Round 3: Loss vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.