Scurv, Stowaway at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Netherlands
Scurv, Stowaway
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 Draft
Round 1: Win vs Daan Barten (Unknown)
55:45
R2 Draft
Round 2: Win vs David Moore (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 Draft
Round 3: Win vs Michael de Kok (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R5
R5 Draft
Round 5: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Unknown)
55:45
R6 Draft
Round 6: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 Draft
Round 7: Win vs Robert Crone (Unknown)
55:45
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.