Azalea
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Rinsma (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Schroder (Fai) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 Project Blue
Round 6: Win vs Gavin Wu (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 Project Blue
Round 6: Win vs Gavin Wu (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Nick Kerr (Fai) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R8
R8 Project Blue
Round 8: Loss vs Sean Yang (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi | 50% | Loss |
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Win vs Ross Newson (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Fai) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
R4
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Win vs Arran Beamsley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Win vs Gary Lynch (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 Project Blue
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Yang (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 Project Blue
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Yang (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi | 50% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Loss vs Arran Beamsley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Elijah Hewlett (Fai) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Win vs kenny forrester (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R6 Project Blue
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R6 Project Blue
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
16th • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Win vs Mer Scott (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Loss vs Nikola Campbell (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Williams (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Win vs James Wakefield (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang | 50% | Win |
50:50
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Win vs James Gilchrist (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Loss vs Trixie Sargisson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Williams (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Terra | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
27th • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Barlow (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Newson (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Win vs Lawson Maric (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
28th • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Win vs Lawson Maric (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Schroder (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Loss vs Mer Scott (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
30th • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Wedge (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs Gavin Wu (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Win vs Jack Lewis Roy (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Barlow (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Loss vs David Rowley (Fai) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.