FaB-Results

Oldhim at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - New Zealand

Oldhim

Oldhim

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gary Lynch
10th • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Deck
Fai
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Win vs Elijah Hewlett (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Lexi
R2
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Yang (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Dromai
R3
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Oldhim
50:50
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Wedge (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Azalea
R5
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Tung (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Anthony Wedge
15th • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Deck
Azalea
R1
R1 Project Blue
Round 1: Win vs Michael Dunlop (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Fang
R2
R2 Project Blue
Round 2: Loss vs James Wakefield (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Rhinar
R3
R3 Project Blue
Round 3: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Oldhim
50:50
R4 Project Blue
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dromai
R5
R5 Project Blue
Round 5: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.