Ira, Crimson Haze at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Ira, Crimson Haze

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Zach Johnson

12th • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Project Blue

Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Sinclair (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Project Blue

Round 2: Win vs James Gilchrist (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Project Blue

Round 3: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Project Blue

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Rinsma (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Project Blue

Round 5: Loss vs Gavin Wu (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Project Blue	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Project Blue	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Project Blue	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Project Blue	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Project Blue	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arran Beamsley

13th • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Project Blue

Round 1: Win vs Nikola Campbell (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Project Blue

Round 2: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Project Blue

Round 3: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 Project Blue

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Tung (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 Project Blue

Round 5: Win vs Trixie Sargisson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Project Blue	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Project Blue	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Project Blue	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Project Blue	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Project Blue	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Trixie Sargisson

22nd • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Project Blue

Round 1: Win vs john jaurigue (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Project Blue

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rinsma (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Project Blue

Round 3: Loss vs kenny forrester (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 Project Blue

Round 4: Win vs Mer Scott (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 Project Blue

Round 5: Loss vs Arran Beamsley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Project Blue	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Project Blue	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Project Blue	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Project Blue	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Project Blue	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.