Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
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5th • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Zeman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Reis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.