Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at National Championship 2025 - Hong Kong Region
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs See Atlantis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hui Ryan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.