
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 10: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.