Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Hong Kong Region
Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
32nd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keung Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.