Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Hong Kong Region
Dash I/O
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lok Chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Yip (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Terry Yuen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.