Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

2nd 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Holland (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Walsh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs seoirse byrne (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 1-1-1
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs seoirse byrne (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jelo Salomon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Cameron Hindes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.