Kayo at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Kayo

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matteo Brunori

3rd • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Unknown)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Massimo D'Amato (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Matteo Frescucci (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

20:80

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.93
R8	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Diego Giacca

5th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Massimo D'Amato (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.87
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.31
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Alessandro Pistelli

5th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Oscilio) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Tassini (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dromai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.36
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Daniel Mulato

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Edoardo La Rosa (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Diego Giacca (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

20:80

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.09
R6	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Francesco D'Amendola

14th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Edoardo La Rosa (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Cindra) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Blitz	Cindra	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alessandro Tassini

15th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Davide Ierardi (Cindra) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Cindra	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Stefano Meoni

17th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Flavio Miani (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

20:80

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Pistelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.29
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lorenzo Latino

22nd • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Blitz	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Dromai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrea Tosi

23rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Guastamacchio (Oscilio) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Davide Ierardi (Cindra) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	Blitz	Cindra	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sebastiano Zagatti

26th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Roberto Andreocci (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Edoardo La Rosa (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Frescucci (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Tosi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrea Mengucci

30th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Riccardo Rotondo (Oscilio) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Giovanni Fierro (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Davide Ierardi (Cindra) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Massimo D'Amato (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Blitz	Cindra	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.61
R6	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.