Battle Hardened: Lyon - Florian (Sealed)

Florian

61 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jean Luka Zorko

2nd • 4-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Gaál Benjamin

5th • 4-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Javier Querol (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ghort Reicros (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Vlad Ciobotea

9th • 4-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Charles Tardif (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Stefano Berian (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jason Semelagne (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christian Franco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lorenzo Cavazzini

14th • 4-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Raymond Mauge (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Killian HENRY (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Alexander Rosenberger

3rd • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Patrik Koller (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Noa Loisy (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam West (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Luis Saenz Soria

3rd • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Guillermo Regueiro (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Franco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Bastien LAVIGNON

5th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sebok Gabor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dave Kerr (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nicolas Scandalis

13th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tam Pham (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jason Semelagne (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pierre Canali

15th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tim Coates (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Josep Giné

16th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonny G (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Robson Dechamps

18th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs damien herlin (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rony MOYAL

25th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs François Facchin (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Quek (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Adam West

26th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Laloy (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Saguer Olivier

28th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Guillermo Regueiro (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Killian HENRY (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Julius Otte

33rd • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Wessel Groot (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Quek (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Kurt Vooys

34th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Franco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexander Hempelmann

35th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Mauge (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jean Cherie (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Noa Loisy (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alex Chițu

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Long Dao (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Angus Sünner

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs damien herlin (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Benoît Geay (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Christian Franco

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Alves (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub Grefling

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Mark Henderson

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sebok Gabor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

sylvain verdet

20th • 2-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Alexandre Laloy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Dave Kerr

dropped • 2-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Adrien Krifa (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Draw	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sebok Gabor

23rd • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs James Rank (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Benoît Geay (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Killian HENRY

29th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Benoît Geay (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ghort Reicros (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Mulato

32nd • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs George Chew (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Declan Patrick

38th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexis VALENTIN

42nd • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Gérôme Francois (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tam Pham

47th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Guillaume Pastor

51st • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

András 'Kaptain' Kovács

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Finn Baird

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jason Semelagne

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julien Erdreich

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Rank (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Bernhardt (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Kevin Sharpes

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Laurens Overgaauw

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Nicolas Pizzonero

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sander Neeft (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Stefano Berian (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Patrick Urfer

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Bernhardt (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Pedro Pereira

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Wessel Groot (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sergio Bravo Aranda

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonny G (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kurt Vooys (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Thomas van den Berg

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Semelagne (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tam Pham (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Angus Sünner (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Coates

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Javier Querol (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bernardo Alves (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gergely Kovacs

45th • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Semelagne (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Mercier (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Guillaume Pastor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Florian Bouteyron

46th • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexej Frikel (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jeremy Coutellec

50th • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Urfer (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs James Rank (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Simon Mercier

52nd • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Raymond Mauge (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gianluigi Lia

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Gérôme Francois

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Basile Massaly (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Javier Querol

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Coates (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Nicolas BROSSE

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Sommer (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Finn Baird (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Noa Loisy

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs valentin mackl (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Shlomo Gdalevich

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Patrik Koller (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Vincent Fasquel

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Javier Querol (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tam Pham (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Rank

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sebok Gabor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrik Koller

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Maxime Deleau (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adrián Marín

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marius Beuth (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Benoît Geay (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.29
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Wessel Groot

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Mckinlay

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Florin-Cristian Loghin

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sander Neeft

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Sommer (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.