Battle Hardened: Lyon - Florian (Draft)

Florian

40 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jean Luka Zorko

2nd • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Alexander Rosenberger

3rd • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

5.3

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.20
R7	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.53
R8	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.60
R9	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Luis Saenz Soria

3rd • 4-1-0

20%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

5.6

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Pierre Canali (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.20
R7	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.53
R8	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.75
R9	Draft	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Bastien LAVIGNON

5th • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Adam West (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.25
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.75
R8	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gaál Benjamin

5th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Mark Henderson (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.75
R8	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

sylvain verdet

20th • 3-0-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

6.2

Diff

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Charles Tardif (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Bernardo Alves (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.17
R7	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Sebok Gabor

23rd • 3-0-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

6.2

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Adam West (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Nicolas Scandalis

13th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Christian Franco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Jonny G (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.17
R7	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pierre Canali

15th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.1

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Charles Tardif (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Josep Giné

16th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.0

Diff

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Basile Massaly (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Killian HENRY (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Robson Dechamps

18th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Killian HENRY

29th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Josep Giné (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.82
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Mulato

32nd • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Tam Pham (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Declan Patrick

38th • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.6

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Draft	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.55

Gergely Kovacs

45th • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Raymond Mauge (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Bouteyron

46th • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs damien herlin (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.82
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Jeremy Coutellec

50th • 2-1-0

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.7

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Benoît Geay (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs damien herlin (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.17
R7	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.55

Vlad Ciobotea

9th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lorenzo Cavazzini

14th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Rony MOYAL

25th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam West

26th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Alex Chițu (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Sebok Gabor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Saguer Olivier

28th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julius Otte

33rd • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Jonny G (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Kurt Vooys

34th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Charles Tardif (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Draft	Aurora	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.54

Alexander Hempelmann

35th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Killian HENRY (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Basile Massaly (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Alexis VALENTIN

42nd • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Unknown)

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tam Pham

47th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Simon Mercier

52nd • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Javier Querol (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Draft	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Guillaume Pastor

51st • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Draft

Round 7: Loss vs Tam Pham (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub Grefling

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Mark Henderson

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R6	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Angus Sünner

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Alves (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Javier Querol

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Mercier (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs damien herlin (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nicolas BROSSE

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Draft

Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Bernhardt (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Patrik Koller

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

5.0

Diff

R5 Draft

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	5.00

Alex Chițu

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Adam West (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Franco

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Finn Baird

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Miroslav Košař (Verdance) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Verdance	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Julien Erdreich

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Sebok Gabor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicolas Pizzonero

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R5 Draft

Round 5: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R5	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.