Verdance at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Sweden
Verdance
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Mikael Vedemar (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Lewis Day (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Jarrett Yu (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Andrej Erdelsky (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Nic Palm (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Nielsen (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Database | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Data Doll MKII | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Database | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.