Aurora
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Halvars (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Eid (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.