Calling: Memphis 2025 [B] Sealed Deck - Fang (Sealed)

Fang

109 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Vore

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Bryce Stroyek

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Nicholas Porter

12th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Hickman (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Eric Dauernnheim

28th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Logan Goens (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Gui Cohen

37th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Love (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Cedric DeRouchie

3rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Norah Abushahma (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rosemary Miller (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mark lewis (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Alex Chițu

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Curtis Roth (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Haik Voskerchian (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Daniel Rutkowski

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Norah Abushahma (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Steele (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Noah Geiger ()

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Mark Morrison

10th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dan Mui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Henke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Pat Eshghy

16th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Su (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Carl Meisner

23rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Justin Anthony (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Josef Mendez

24th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jameon Delp (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dustin Brown (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Pedro Esaki ()

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alex Slotnick

26th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dustin Brown (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jameon Delp (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Colton Hall (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robin Avenoso

27th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Hardy (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Austin Revera

29th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Carter (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jake Landaiche

32nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Rybak (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Derrick Wolf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew W (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Craig Krempels

39th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

James Wray

42nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs JOSEPH JACKSON (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Moe Kaake (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Steele (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philip Huang

45th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eric Reed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michael Stanko

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tim Lee (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Austin Ryan (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Michael Dalton

14th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Edward Knight (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Andre Francis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Sam Rosenberg

31st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle Yoder

47th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Roger Bodee (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Joshua Lau

50th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Olson (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Austin Ryan (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maxwell Mitchell

53rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Young (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Steven Sweany (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eric Reed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Aaron Moore

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs William Snead (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

David Reitenbach

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Watts (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rich Heitzenrater (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ning Liu (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Emery Powell

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Evan Ford (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Haik Voskerchian

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Darin Key (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hollis Eacho (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Colton Hall (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs wade fout (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pierre-Nicolas Perrin

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Randall Robinson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ryan Lester

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Trent Williams (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Roger Bodee (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Tayler Adolphson

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kenjy Jap (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Catherine Powell

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Gray (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Matt Schubert (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Dantes Ha (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Amanda Sullender

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Pedro Esaki ()

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Bruner (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andre Francis

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Larry Durham (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Logan Goens (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs William Snead (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Phillip Spader (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bradley Cox

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Devin Rataiczak (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Travi Prescott (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Moe Kaake (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Brennan Tolnay

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Durham (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brett Williamson

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jared Wyce (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Carter Barton

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Darren Rennie

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Timothy Hickman (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nick Battista (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Kyle Garten

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Martin Burch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Hankins (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs William Snead (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Liam Donnelly

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kenjy Jap (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Ulm (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs TCGTed Grabow (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Robbie Valdez

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tyson Au (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Carter (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

wade fout

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chase Feaster (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Reed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robert Bennington (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Chase Mitchusson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Rivera

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Love (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ovas Siddiqui

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tyson Au (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Hankins (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Young (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.63
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.76
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Roger Bodee

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Perry (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.63
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Timothy Carter

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Canales (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.76
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Adam Kershaw

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Canales (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Steven Romero (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cavin Saravanan

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ning Liu (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Dalton Gomez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Micah Luff

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Trent Williams (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Mike Murray

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Caleb Engen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Moe Kaake (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Sean Baker

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Kim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Larry Durham (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Moe Kaake (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Moe Kaake

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dalton Gomez

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs TCGTed Grabow (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Drew Peastrel

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Logan Petersen (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.80
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jonny Espejo

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Henke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Wadley (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dustin Brown (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Steele

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Hardy (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dane Dickson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Phillip Spader

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert Bennington (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andre Francis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Raymond Griffin

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robert Bennington

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Caleb Engen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs wade fout (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ikwal Hira (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Samuel-Shane Cooper

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Anthony DeMeo (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Edward Knight (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tyson Au

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Derrick Wolf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ning Liu (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Ryan Wallace

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Mark lewis (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rich Heitzenrater (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Bullie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Austin Ryan

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tho Bui (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Phillip Spader (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Evan Ford

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Dotter (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ian Daryl Bon

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kendric Bohannon (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Ikwal Hira

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Hankins (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Bennington (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Baugh

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tho Bui (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Steve Gilland (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.53
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Justin Anthony

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Lee (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Proctor (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luis Cisneros

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ikwal Hira (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Matthew W

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rosemary Miller (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.53
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Yoder

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.53
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rich Pauls

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dantes Ha (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Geiger ()

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eduardo Castillo Trujillo

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Matt Schubert (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Logan Goens (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Battista (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Scott Sharpe

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sjohn Chambers (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Bullie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Tyler Bullie

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Scott Sharpe (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Romero (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matt Schubert (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Johnathan Carrillo

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Paul Martinez (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jared Wyce (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Randall Robinson

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs brynn nieboer (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Dan Mui

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ning Liu (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs brynn nieboer (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

JOSEPH JACKSON

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Devin Rataiczak (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Jonathan Riddell

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eric Wilson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs HUNTER WALTERS (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Larry Durham

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andre Francis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Windham

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel White (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Norah Abushahma

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chris Soriano (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

SEAN STELL

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Steven Cawyer

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Laflin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alison Blaskovich (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Tyler McMurray

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Paul Martinez (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Justin Adolphson

dropped • 0-3-1

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Slayton (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Matt Schubert (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nick Battista (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Logan Goens

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Andre Francis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Caleb Engen

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Bennington (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rich Heitzenrater (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Dane Dickson

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Chase Mitchusson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nick Battista (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Martin Burch

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs marcellus hunter (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Steven Nemeth

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chase Mitchusson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Alison Blaskovich

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark lewis (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brandon Stolzer

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Geiger ()

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Soriano

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Norah Abushahma (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Durham

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Devin Rataiczak

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs JOSEPH JACKSON (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Hardy

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Darin Key (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sean Soderman

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Trent Williams

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

brynn nieboer

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dan Mui (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexander Ulm

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kendric Bohannon (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brandon Green

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ty Hicks

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Anthony DeMeo

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel White

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Windham (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dennis Kim

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.