Calling: Memphis 2025 [B] Sealed Deck - Arakni, Web of Deceit (Sealed)

Arakni, Web of Deceit

41 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Austin Redington

2nd • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Michael Hamilton

1st • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Green (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Timothy Carter (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Dalton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Michael Clair

11th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Noah Geiger ()

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Evan Brook

18th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Durham (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Evan Ford (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Joshua Rath

35th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Abigail Welday

40th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Watts (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Trey Meyers

25th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Wadley (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Timothy Carter (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maxwell Taylor

41st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Chase Mitchusson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Shane Martin

44th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Randall Robinson (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Moe Kaake (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Robert Conder (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Roger Bodee (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Andrew Henderson

48th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Carter (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Logan Petersen (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Norah Abushahma (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Eli Teed

49th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs brynn nieboer (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chase Feaster (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Steele (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joel Grizzelle

51st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Noah Geiger ()

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nathanael Hunt

52nd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rich Heitzenrater (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

John Milner

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Derrick Wolf (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nicholas Acklin

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Logan Goens (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joseph Watts (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Sherman Darrenkamp

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Darin Key (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tim Lee (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Yasunari Sakuma

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nghia Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Larry Durham (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dustin Brown (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Logan King

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Nicolas Seegraves

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs JOSEPH JACKSON (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Robert Nguyen (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matt Schubert

dropped • 3-2-3

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Justin Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Bullie (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Amanda Coots (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Chase Mitchusson

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dane Dickson (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs wade fout (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Edward Knight

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Stewart (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Eric Reed

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Logan Petersen (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs wade fout (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Eric Wilson

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Riddell (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sean Soderman (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Stewart (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Bird Cabrera

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Travi Prescott (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

HUNTER WALTERS

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Hankins (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Amanda Coots (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Travi Prescott

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs William Snead (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Gray (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Ian Siczewicz

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Bullie (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs James Wray (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Adrian Gebhart

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brooks Mitchell

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Casey Owen (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Joe Canton Encarnacion

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Love (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Stephen Harris

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Soderman (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kenjy Jap (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.42
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.55
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Brandon Hartman

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Durham (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kendric Bohannon

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Ulm (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Nathan Henke

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Ryan Hankins

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ikwal Hira (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs HUNTER WALTERS (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Rich Heitzenrater

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Emmitt Luna

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Steve Gilland (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dantes Ha (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kristifer Flournoy (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tho Bui

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Young (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Kristopher Kraemer

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Robert VanDyke IV

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Nguyen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.