Cindra at Calling: Memphis 2025 [B] Sealed Deck

Cindra

69 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Justin Gottlieb

9th • 7-1-0

38%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rich Pauls (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Evan Bridges (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs wade fout (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.41
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.95
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Christopher Iaali

13th • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Esaki ()

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Justin Anthony (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Edward Knight (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.68
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Evan Bridges

20th • 7-1-0

50%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Trenton McBride (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eric Reed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.41
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.68
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Gary Gold

3rd • 6-2-0

25%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Amanda Coots (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Haik Voskerchian (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Carter Barton (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Noah Clark (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Nicholas Tran

15th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steven Romero (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kendric Bohannon (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Noah Clark

19th • 6-2-0

12%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andre Francis (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Larry Durham (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Nick Gabler

22nd • 6-2-0

38%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Holden Isaacs

43rd • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Colin Marshall (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Steve Gilland (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.95
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jason Watkins

46th • 6-2-0

25%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chris Soriano (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Connor Bryant

17th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tim Lee (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jesse Hudak

21st • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert Conder (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Bader (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Dalton (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Noah Geiger ()

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Elaine Cao

30th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Derrick Wolf (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Moe Kaake (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.68
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Randall Sims

36th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ty Hicks (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark lewis (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tee Thebeau

38th • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Majin Bae (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Drake Plew

54th • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nick Battista (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eli Teed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jenan Wise

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Gray (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs HUNTER WALTERS (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

John Paul Kilcrease

dropped • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Reed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tyson Au (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Colin Marshall (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eric Wilson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Matthew Greenleaf

dropped • 5-3-0

12%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Robert Bennington (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sean Gray (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Trevor Rich

dropped • 5-3-0

12%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eric Wilson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kendric Bohannon (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs HUNTER WALTERS (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.68
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

William Bradshaw

dropped • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Gill (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chase Mitchusson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Christopher Lewis

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sean Soderman (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Gomez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nick Battista (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sean Baker (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Jeremiah Oldes

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Colin Marshall (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Martin Burch (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Revera (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ning Liu (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jesus Montijo

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Devin Rataiczak (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark lewis (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Shane Martin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John-David Cottrell

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Edward Knight (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Zac Bailey

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs SEAN STELL (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zach Johnson

dropped • 4-4-0

25%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dustin Brown (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Carl Meisner (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Randall Sims (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zack Phillips

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ty Hicks (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Yoder (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Dantes Ha (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Laflin

dropped • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Paul Martinez (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Chandler Bushnell

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dantes Ha (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mark lewis (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maxwell Martrich

dropped • 2-6-0

25%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chris Soriano (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Brook (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Laflin (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nick Battista

dropped • 2-6-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Drake Plew (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dane Dickson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Justin Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Lewis (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Dantes Ha (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Daniel Todd

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs JOSEPH JACKSON (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tyson Au (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.64
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.96
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Singleton

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alison Blaskovich (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ikwal Hira (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Benjamin Lawton

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert VanDyke IV (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Craig Krempels (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Canales (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Geiger ()

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.15
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Kehe

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs SEAN STELL (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Bruner

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kristifer Flournoy (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.72
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Kevin Canales

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mike Murray (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Carter (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.94
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Kevin Lindenmayer

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Colton Hall (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Steven Sweany (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Darin Key (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

TUCKER CAMPBELL

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nathan Henke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.72
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Derrick Wolf

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Casey Russell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tyson Au (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul Martinez (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Dylan Ashcraft

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Todd (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Aaron Young

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Love (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tho Bui (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Joseph Watts (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Colin Marshall

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Justin Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.67
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Rothhaar

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Trent Williams (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Travi Prescott (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.67
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.87
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Dominic Delmont

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Zac Bailey (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chase Mitchusson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Philip Huang (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Dustin Brown

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Zach Johnson (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Matt Jacobs

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Travi Prescott (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matt Garner (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Sjohn Chambers

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Justin Slayton (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Lee

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Justin Anthony (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matt Garner (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

William Snead

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Travi Prescott (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Garten (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andre Francis (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jacob Bader

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Bruner (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Andrew Hilleary

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paul Martinez (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Ethan Gill

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs marcellus hunter (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Darin Key (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeremy Love

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Young (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Jonathan Gray

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Travi Prescott (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joseph Watts

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Reitenbach (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Acklin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Young (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

MOISES LOPEZ

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hollis Eacho (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kyle Proctor (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rosemary Miller

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Stewart (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Casey Owen (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Steve Gilland

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Romero (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kenjy Jap

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tayler Adolphson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nghia Tran

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Bennington (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Casey Owen

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Cameron Gumm (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Rosemary Miller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeffrey Rybak

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Esaki ()

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Logan Petersen

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Reed (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

David Wadley

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jameon Delp

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jeremiah Dotter

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Conder (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Casey Russell

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Derrick Wolf (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hayden Christoffersen

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs John Milner (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.