Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsz Long Mok (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chan Lion (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Aurora, Shooting Star
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sze Long Hsu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
dropped 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashley Chiu (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hochun Lai (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs See Atlantis (Unknown)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.