Fang at Battle Hardened: Prague 2025

Fang

69 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michał Krzyżyk

2nd • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ádám Kovács (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Christopher Iaali

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Laura Wichert (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni

11th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Hills (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

András 'Kaptain' Kovács

12th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Davis Groza (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Søren Madsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Martin Holík (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Florian Koksch

13th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dominique Crepaz (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Louis Caubet (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Martin Holík

14th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brian Atchley (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Joel Guzman (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Lukas Lorek

42nd • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michal Cwik (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alessandro Bracci

35th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daja Todesco (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Violet Burn (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joseph Taylor

37th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Caubet (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver M (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Valon Maxhuni

41st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lukáš Püspöki (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thilo Focke (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ádám Kovács (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Otman Soumane (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Federico Sirri

43rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Delgado (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sascha Neuendorf (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Troth (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ivan Ekeli (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michal Cwik

49th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Wilson (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sascha Neuendorf (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thilo Focke

50th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs George Chew (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alon Edelman (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dominik Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kinga Piper Balázs

53rd • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Niklas Astner (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Davis Groza (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Artis Ivanovs

55th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Lekevicius (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Taylor (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.55
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dziugas Skrupskelis

57th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marincas Victor (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adam Skruch

63rd • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Martin Knýbel (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alex Price

65th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rebecca Mosheim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Otman Soumane (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Hugo Platret

66th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Caubet (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Bruno Mendes

67th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Simone Pagani (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Noah Hicks (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Laura Wichert (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Heibrok

70th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rebecca Mosheim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Suzanne Hug (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Davis Groza (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mark Smith

71st • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Davis Groza (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Eckstein (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mike Oliver Böhm (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Szymon Biesiekierski

73rd • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Lekevicius (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Leonel Torrealba

74th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Ekeli (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.78
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Suzanne Hug

80th • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Ania Grudnowska

82nd • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Edward Harris (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexandre Clay

85th • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bram bertens (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bernhard Hinna

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.63
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Lorenzo Cavazzini

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Farnell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kamil "Kaka" Żerek

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adam Urban (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Laura Wichert

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dominique Crepaz (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Rebecca Mosheim

dropped • 1-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Delgado (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.76
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Bartosz Dominiak

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ivan Ekeli (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Troth

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Shortall (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Federico Sirri (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Diego Rosa

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Estelberger (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Jakub Grefling

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lars Maushake (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bram bertens (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.80
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniele Bigagli

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kaloyan Nikov

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Reschke (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Florian Koksch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.71
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mihai Zorila

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam Urban (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Milan Pěkný (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Nils Klaper

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Corentin Petit (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Marincas Victor (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Vincent PROUM

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Erik Baalhuis

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonas Lekevicius (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Farnell (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Laura Wichert (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonathan Shortall

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Troth (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.71
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Noah Hicks

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Diego Rosa (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dominik Däther (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Mendes (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas Steinle

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ben Olsen (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Simone Pagani (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Taylor (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.53
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Bizau

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Pawel Wojewodzic (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daja Todesco (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Richard Carr (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Dominik Šupa

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs George Douglas (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Suzanne Hug (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Grabenstein

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Shortall (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Alves

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Milan Pěkný

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver M (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Hauser

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Johannes Petri (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Lüttmer

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert Alessi (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Edward Harris (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Malabrera

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ben Olsen

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Patrick Theissler

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Adam Urban

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Francesco Giorgio

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thilo Focke (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Guillem Las Heras

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hrvoje Hedžet

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Troth (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Stephen Eade

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Viktor Sojka

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Christian Kiederer

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Reschke (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rebecca Mosheim (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Christopher Estelberger

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Diego Rosa (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Léo Masson

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Marincas Victor (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Martin Knýbel

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michaele Teppa

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicolas Havran

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sabine Standfuß-Holthausen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.