Arakni, Web of Deceit at Battle Hardened: Prague 2025

Arakni, Web of Deceit

35 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tommaso Viscido

1st • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Joel Guzman (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Peter Nethan Henriksen

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tess van Dartel (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Richard Carr (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Thomas Harle

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Niklas Astner (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ville Schalin (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Søren Madsen

22nd • 6-1-1

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Bernardo José Alves (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ádám Kovács (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Laura Wichert (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Lukasz Ziemba

9th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ville Schalin (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Violet Burn (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michał Zalejski

19th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zdeněk Kmínek (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Otman Soumane (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Violet Burn (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Thomas Neseyif-Deakin

21st • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tobias Meyer (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philip van Donselaar

26th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Noah Hicks (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jun Pan (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nils Klaper (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ville Schalin (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Rhyan Bromell

31st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Caubet (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Suzanne Hug (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Luca Barcella (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alessio Bouko

33rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sascha Neuendorf (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Thilo Focke (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Jacob Friis Nielsen

34th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lars Maushake (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Leoluca Colletti

38th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Davis Groza

44th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Fábián Demeter

78th • 3-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Shortall (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tobias Neller (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Jannik Bücher

81st • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alon Edelman (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Christopher Chalk

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Lorente

dropped • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Lukas Lorek (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Scornia (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jordan Soubrier

dropped • 1-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Marincas Victor (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Delgado (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Viet Pham

dropped • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Henderson (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.77
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

John Zapata

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs George Douglas (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Hills (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Theissler (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Léo Toulouse

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Michal Cwik (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Robbert Valkeneers (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Florian Malabrera (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Martin Knýbel (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.42
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.83
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Louis Caubet

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joseph Taylor (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.42
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Erik Schwermer

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Suzanne Hug (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Bram bertens

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Bernardo Cardoso

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Olsen (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Gennaro Ciampa Mango

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Petter Olsson (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Brandon Hartman

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R4	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jonah Overholt

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Stephen Eade (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jun Pan

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Denni Kostic (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sven Tscheppainz

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dominik Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Maciej Kawończyk

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

George Douglas

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Fang) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jordan Agudelo

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Levente Leonard Vágó

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.