Battle Hardened: Prague 2025 - Cindra (Sealed)

Cindra

52 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Thomas van den Berg

3rd • 7-1-0

38%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Laura Wichert (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jose Alves (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Richard Carr (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paul Farnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Florian Koksch (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Gints Dreimanis

5th • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oliver M (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs John Zapata (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kevin Zänker

5th • 7-1-0

25%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Zdeněk Kmínek (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs John Zapata (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Calf (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.68
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.95
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jean Luka Zorko

15th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul Farnell (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nathan Hills

16th • 6-2-0

25%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs John Zapata (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michal Cwik (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.14
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joel Guzman

23rd • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Kevin Gehringer

27th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Carr (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ivan Ekeli (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jose Alves (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Petter Olsson (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Patrik Koller

30th • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Däther (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.95
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ville Schalin

36th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robert Alessi (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joseph Taylor (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Paul Beese

39th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sabine Standfuß-Holthausen (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Oliver M (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Luca Barcella (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Florin-Cristian Loghin

40th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli ()

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver M (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mads Kjølby Larsen

45th • 4-4-0

25%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Bastien LAVIGNON

46th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Diego Rosa (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.41
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luca Barcella

47th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver M (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daja Todesco (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marco Lettieri

52nd • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sascha Neuendorf (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Eade (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Shortall (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Violet Burn (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Otman Soumane

54th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mike Oliver Böhm (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ádám Kovács (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Violet Burn (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tobias Neller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Kim Scheerer

56th • 4-4-0

12%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Léo Masson (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hugo Platret (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Tobias Neller

61st • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Denni Kostic (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Dominik Däther (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Otman Soumane (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daja Todesco

68th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Johannes Petri (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Javier Querol

69th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dominik Schauer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Diego Rosa (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ivan Ekeli

72nd • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kane Wilson (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sergio Bravo Aranda

75th • 3-5-0

12%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Suzanne Hug (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Thilo Focke (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Price (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Damon Harbinson

76th • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Ekeli (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robin Scornia (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver M (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Suzanne Hug (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Jan Hendrik Wewering

79th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Denni Kostic (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Shortall (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rebecca Mosheim (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Delgado (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrei Lazar

83rd • 2-5-1

38%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Sven Tscheppainz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Rebecca Mosheim (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mantas Ptakauskas

84th • 2-5-1

38%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Fábián Demeter (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.95
R8	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Daniel Delgado

87th • 1-7-0

62%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ben McConnochie (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Lekevicius (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Soubrier (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Rebecca Mosheim (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hanno Lünser

dropped • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ádám Kovács (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.15
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.96
R7	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Lorenzo Petrone

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Taylor (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonas Lekevicius

dropped • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Römisch (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Scornia (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Delgado (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Lars Maushake

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Mark Henderson

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Leonel Torrealba (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bram bertens (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Diego Rosa (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.90
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Paul Farnell

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tess van Dartel (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Richard Carr

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.90
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Ben McConnochie

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Delgado (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Violet Burn (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Unknown)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robin Scornia

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Trey Meyers (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonas Lekevicius (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Alexander Schauer

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tobias Neller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Kamil Rejman

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Dominik Schauer

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thilo Focke (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Mike Oliver Böhm

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jacky Leung (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Otman Soumane (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Rob Catton

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Davis Groza (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lars Maushake (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.72
R3	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gaál Benjamin

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ádám Kovács (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Unknown)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zdeněk Kmínek

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Arakni, Web of Deceit	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Daniel Eckstein

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sascha Neuendorf (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Smith (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Simone Pagani

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tess van Dartel (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Mendes (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

David Reschke

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Kiederer (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Ernesto Silva

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Johannes Petri

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Maciej Szawica

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Zdeněk Kmínek (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jacky Leung

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mike Oliver Böhm (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lukáš Püspöki

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Fang) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Fang	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.