
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Mark sipics (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.